Our [other] Warriors Problem

 

It’s been a rough week for the website, so all my apologies. Had some technical difficulties, was out of town a few days, had a closing on a refi, all kinds of excuses. But, I’m still here kicking for week 4. Note that I got quite a bit of video from the Oxford game, but haven’t had a chance to do anything with it yet. Probably in a few days (who knows, maybe even tonight) you can go back to the Oxford recap and I should have some links in there for the video. I did get Fletcher’s TD and the Sackett 2 point catch that won the game….

I’ve been dreading this week more and more as the season has progressed, as Sidney seems to have gotten steadily better. It’s also just tough from a matchup point of view – Oxford certainly took advantage of some soft pass defense, and I’m guessing that Sidney will be a couple times better at it than Oxford. We had some struggles tackling against Harpursville, and Sidney QB Dylan Umbra is as good as they come. We’ll have our hands more than full no doubt.

The good news is that DK is certainly an expert at knowing how to prepare. Bad news is that we just have not played well against Sidney at all in recent years, for whatever reason. Granted, much of the time it has to do with the skill they bring to the table, but I also think that if you look at the big picture of how we did during a season vs. how we did against Sidney, we seem to fall on our faces a bit against the Warriors.

We also have a habit of letting things get out of hand quickly….most every game since ’03 Sidney has just bolted out of the gates against us. On a few occasions we’ve been able to work our way back into the game, but the early deficits were always too big to get over (unless you count ’06 when we actually had the lead very late in the game, before a would-be interception or incompletion on 4th down bounced off our defender’s shoulder pads and into the Sidney player’s arms, extending a drive that ended in a decisive field goal).

We’ve been reasonably quick starters so far this season, with the exception of our offensive performance against Oxford, where we really struggled early to get first downs. I’d love to see us reverse our fortunes against Sidney by maybe shocking them a bit with some first downs and an early score or 2 on our part, and some 3 and outs when they have the ball. Would be a nice change from what we’ve seen lately. That said, they certainly showed against Walton that they can overcome a sizeable deficit, even late in the game.

As much as I want to win this, I am a bit fearful of what a big emotional win would do for us going into the 2nd half of the season, with some VERY tough divisional opponents on the schedule. I’d really hate to have a letdown/crash following all that emotion. Heck, I worry the other way too….a big loss, and our confidence may be out the window. Seems like a lose-lose, but I think our focus just needs to be on how we play. Do things well. Play as cleanly as possible on both sides of the ball. Look sharp. Get better at the things we need to get better at. Let the score take care of itself. We have not beaten Sidney since our state championship season (’01), so it would be nice to get over the hump….but, again, getting better is what is of utmost importance to me.

My picks are climbing back into respectability, with a pretty good 19-3 (0.864) showing last week, for a running total of 49-18 (0.731). My week 4 winners are…Corning over Binghamton, END over Odessa-Montour, Trumansburg over SVE, Ithaca over UE (is this the year Ithaca gets over the hump?), Owego over Windsor, Johnson City over Waverly, Norwich over Sus Valley, Greene over UVE, Tioga over Candor (big DVIII pecking order game), Oxford over Deposit/Hancock, Forks over Unatego, EFA over Dryden, Walton over H-ville (BG struggled a bit with H-ville, will be curious to see how Walton does), Vestal over Maine-Endwell, Southside over Horseheads, Moravia over Newfield, Chenango Valley over Oneonta, BG over Seton (another very curious game), Lansing over Newark Valley, Whitney Point over Watkins Glen, and Groton over Edison…